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You are right to some extent in what you say. In the olden days people had a stronger belief in all kinds of witchery; now they pretend not to believe in it, that they may be looked upon as sensible and educated people, as you say.

What we need as a metaphysic and what the logical realists are at least glimpsing, is the principle of contradiction.

For example in When the hand on the gun is not yours fron Peter Boatman in Police The Voice of the Service Jan 1997 page 20 and i quote: / "-Statistically officers have between 10 and 20 percent chance of beïng disarmed and shot with their own weapon or the weapon of another officer.